
So here are my final predictions now that I’ve caught up with many more of the films under scrutiny. As always I will reiterate that is simply a bit of fun, my love of film is such that I have mentally played this game for years, it’s only since I started this damn blog that I have felt the need to share my pure guesswork and limited predictive prowess with you. Fortunately my work situation means I can stay up and see the results as they come in live as announced, who says working for yourself doesn’t have some benefits eh? Ok, maybe not….

So it seems that the major battle this year will be between ‘Slumdog’ and ‘Button’, at least in the most prestigious categories. I predict that ‘Slumdog’ will prevail although personally I found ‘Button’ to be a far superior film. You may have noticed a comment on my original post questioning my dismissal of ‘Slumdog’ so here, if you’re interested, is my response. Firstly, I said that that ‘Slumdog’ is a hugely overrated film and I stand by that assertion, maybe it’s a personal prejudice but I find it difficult to champion any film whose entire premise and design is built around the machinations of a TV quiz show. Am I a snob? Well….well yes I am but let me reiterate that this is a film based around a fucking quiz show. The narrative revolving around the main guys ability to answer questions that he magically learnt during osmosisly charged previous events strikes me as clumsy and horrendously convenient. It just doesn’t ring true and seems so artificaly constructed and false that I could not accept it. Yes, yes I know the answer - it’s a fable, I know it’s not supposed to be realistic but such a design, with its inevitable conclusion left no room for any genuine passion or sense of threat which the film clearly desires and attempts to achieve. To clarify it’s not a bad film nor a good film in my estimation – any other mediocre Rom-Com operates in the same realm – it’s a perfectly well constructed, directed, acted, designed and delivered peice of candy with a different cloak which seems to have diverted attention from its lack of originality by virtue of its setting in a unusual milleu.

In the film’s defense I don’t quite accept the accusations that the film is mere ‘poverty chic’, it kept me interested to the inevitable conclusion although I’ll admit a certain sense of distaste of the premise that hey, growing up in abject poverty can be magically surpassed by getting a slot on a game show. Oh, and the tacked Bollywood style musical picture struck me as jarring and ugly, its a bit rich of Danny Boyle to say as he did in last months ‘Sight & Sound’ that he did everyting possible to avoid Indian film cliches. OK, Rant over.
Once again, the designation is to bold the films I’ve seen, italic the picture/performance/achievement I think should win and finally bullet point the film I think will win. After two years of a poor 50% accuracy I wonder if my crystal ball will be more

Performance By An Actor In A Leading Role
Richard Jenkins in “The Visitor” (Overture Films)
Frank Langella in “Frost/Nixon” (Universal)
Sean Penn in “Milk” (Focus Features)
Brad Pitt in “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
Mickey Rourke in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)
No change, Rourke for the win. The only moment of interest in the recent BAFTA awards was his acceptance speech, an amusing self-deprecating breath of fresh air in a morass of predictable discourse that choke most of these events into somnambulist boredom. No I didn’t get a dictionary for Xmas, why do you ask?
- Mickey Rourke in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)

Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role
Josh Brolin in “Milk” (Focus Features)
Robert Downey Jr. in “Tropic Thunder” (DreamWorks)
Philip Seymour Hoffman in “Doubt” (Miramax)
Heath Ledger in “The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.)
Michael Shannon in “Revolutionary Road” (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage)
Shannon stole the show in ‘Revolutionary Road’ but Ledger’s performance, fan-boy fawning aside was genuinely electric and elevated ‘The Dark Knight’ beyond its comic book trappings to another level. It’s the crux of the film in many ways which is quite an achievement for a supposed ‘Supporting Role’ nod. The most predictable yet worthy nomination of the year.
- Heath Ledger in “The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.)

Performance By An Actress In A Leading Role
Anne Hathaway in “Rachel Getting Married” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Angelina Jolie in “Changeling” (Universal)
Melissa Leo in “Frozen River” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Meryl Streep in “Doubt” (Miramax)
Kate Winslet in “The Reader” (The Weinstein Company)
An amendment, I think Kate will triumph over Anne as she delivers a performance that develops from young to old age in the film which I imagine is more impressive to the peer voters and is unique in relation to the other nominees, yeah I’m also hedging my bets given her recent wins in the US and European award phalanx. I preferred Anne’s unexpected bravery and vulnerability though.
- Kate Winslet in “The Reader” (The Weinstein Company)

Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Amy Adams in “Doubt” (Miramax)
Penélope Cruz in “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (The Weinstein Company)
Viola Davis in “Doubt” (Miramax)
Taraji P. Henson in “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
Marisa Tomei in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)
A few months ago I caught up with a couple of Allen’s recent films – ‘Celebrity’ and ‘Everything Else’ – both of which were not just awful but disturbingly, throughly and depressingly terrible considering how entertaining Woody’s previous movies have been. I used to be a fan of his but he has totally lost the plot – literally – in every way and ‘Vicky Cristina Barcelona’ from the trailer alone looks like much the same combination of mannered, cringeworthy and redundant cinema. OK, I haven’t seen “Vicky’ so this is pure speculation cultivated from the trailer but I’m reasonably sure this will not be a return to form, at least for me. Um, OK, back on track – anyway I thought Tomei’s quiet performance in ‘The Wrestler’ perfectly slotted within the films overall desperate aura and served as an intriguing foil to the main characters desperation and struggle, so if a supporting performance can in some ways be judged as a crutch and enhancement to the main actors expression then this should be hers. Cruz will get it though.
- Penélope Cruz in “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (The Weinstein Company)

Best animated feature film of the year
“Bolt” (Walt Disney), Chris Williams and Byron Howard
“Kung Fu Panda” (DreamWorks Animation, Distributed by Paramount), John Stevenson and Mark Osborne
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Andrew Stanton
No contest, ‘WALL-E’ is up there with the classics of animation whilst taking the form forward. A certainty.
- “WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Andrew Stanton

Achievement in art direction
“Changeling” (Universal), Art Direction: James J. Murakami, Set Decoration: Gary Fettis
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Art Direction: Donald Graham Burt, Set Decoration: Victor J. Zolfo
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Art : Nathan Crowley, Set Decoration: Peter Lando
“The Duchess” (Paramount Vantage, Pathé and BBC Films), Art Direction: Michael Carlin, Set Decoration: Rebecca Alleway
“Revolutionary Road” (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage), Art Direction: Kristi Zea, Set Decoration: Debra Schutt
Like I said anything pre 1900 is gangbusters with the Academy, however I think ‘Button’ may mop up with some of the technical awards at the price of the more higher profile achievements:
- “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.)

Achievement in cinematography
“Changeling” (Universal), Tom Stern
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Claudio Miranda
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Wally Pfister
“The Reader” (The Weinstein Company), Chris Menges and Roger Deakins
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Anthony Dod Mantle
Tricky. Will the IMAX breakthrough that ‘DK’ achieved be overwhelmed by the vivid palette of ‘Slumdog’? Will ‘Buttons’ classic yet to my eye subtly effective design be overlooked? It’s a close one although I think ‘Slumdog’ will get it by virtue of achieving those visuals on set in difficult shooting conditions, to my mind ‘DK’ was far more cinematic but maybe that’s a personal preference. Swings and roundabouts…..
- “Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Anthony Dod Mantle

Achievement in costume design
“Australia” (20th Century Fox), Catherine Martin
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Jacqueline West
“The Duchess” (Paramount Vantage, Pathé and BBC Films), Michael O’Connor
“Milk” (Focus Features), Danny Glicker
“Revolutionary Road” (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage), Albert Wolsky
I’ll stick with ‘Australia’ as it seems more obvious than the others.
- “Australia” (20th Century Fox), Catherine Martin

Achievement in directing
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), David Fincher
“Frost/Nixon” (Universal), Ron Howard
“Milk” (Focus Features), Gus Van Sant
“The Reader” (The Weinstein Company), Stephen Daldry
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Danny Boyle
Fincher has nurtured this project for years, usurped it from from the likes of Spielberg and Zemeckis who both developed then dropped the project as ‘impossible’ over the years, I think he’ll get this and ‘Slumdog’ will garner best picture. As a quick aside having seen the most pedestrianly directed film that is ‘Frost/Nixon’ it is a shame that Nolan was superceded by Howard.
- “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), David Fincher

Best documentary feature
“The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)” (Cinema Guild), A Pandinlao Films Production, Ellen Kuras and Thavisouk Phrasavath
“Encounters at the End of the World” (THINKFilm and Image Entertainment), A Creative Differences Production, Werner Herzog and Henry Kaiser
“The Garden” A Black Valley Films Production, Scott Hamilton Kennedy
“Man on Wire” (Magnolia Pictures), A Wall to Wall Production, James Marsh and Simon Chinn
“Trouble the Water” (Zeitgeist Films), An Elsewhere Films Production, Tia Lessin and Carl Deal
‘Man On Wire’ is pretty amazing, I cannot judge further as I haven’t caught any of the others so that’s where we are.
- “Man on Wire” (Magnolia Pictures), A Wall to Wall Production, James Marsh and Simon Chinn
Best documentary short subject
“The Conscience of Nhem En” A Farallon Films Production, Steven Okazaki
“The Final Inch” A Vermilion Films Production, Irene Taylor Brodsky and Tom Grant
“Smile Pinki” A Principe Production, Megan Mylan
“The Witness – From the Balcony of Room 306” A Rock Paper Scissors Production, Adam Pertofsky and Margaret Hyde
Pure guesswork remains pure guesswork:
- “The Witness – From the Balcony of Room 306” A Rock Paper Scissors Production, Adam Pertofsky and Margaret Hyde

Achievement in film editing
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Lee Smith
“Frost/Nixon” (Universal), Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
“Milk” (Focus Features), Elliot Graham
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Chris Dickens
I stand by the temazepam comment so that’s ‘DK’ out. Look it up. I’ll stick with ‘Button’ as I’ve read about how much coverage Fincher shot, carving such a beautiful, epic film was quite an achievement.
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall

Best foreign language film of the year
“The Baader Meinhof Complex” A Constantin Film Production, Germany
“The Class” (Sony Pictures Classics), A Haut et Court Production, France
“Departures” (Regent Releasing), A Departures Film Partners Production, Japan
“Revanche” (Janus Films), A Prisma Film/Fernseh Production, Austria
“Waltz with Bashir” (Sony Pictures Classics), A Bridgit Folman Film Gang Production, Israel
Two out of five ain’t great odds, I could be obvious and elect the ‘Waltz’ experience – and I agree it is an experience – as the more predictable choice, however I’ll stick with ‘The Class’ as I’ve started to see hugely agreeable reviews of this in the press and on the web.
“The Class” (Sony Pictures Classics), A Haut et Court Production, France

Achievement in makeup
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Greg Cannom
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), John Caglione, Jr. and Conor O’Sullivan
“Hellboy II: The Golden Army” (Universal), Mike Elizalde and Thom Floutz
EDIT – Well, even though I’m sure ‘Hellboy II was by far the more complex and difficult job I’m gonna be cynical and assume DK will get the statuette for this, I hope I’m wrong. Idiot – it’s ‘Button’. And here’s hubris If I’m wrong.
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Greg Cannom

Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Alexandre Desplat
“Defiance” (Paramount Vantage), James Newton Howard
“Milk” (Focus Features), Danny Elfman
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), A.R. Rahman
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Thomas Newman
Another nod for the little fella:
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Thomas Newman
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
“Down to Earth” from “WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Music by Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman, Lyric by Peter Gabriel
“Jai Ho” from “Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Music by A.R. Rahman, Lyric by Gulzar
“O Saya” from “Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Music and Lyric by A.R. Rahman and Maya Arulpragasam
’WALL-E’ again:
“Down to Earth” from “WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Music by Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman, Lyric by Peter Gabriel

Best motion picture of the year
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), A Kennedy/Marshall Production, Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshall and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
“Frost/Nixon” (Universal), A Universal Pictures, Imagine Entertainment and Working Title Production, Brian Grazer, Ron Howard and Eric Fellner, Producers
“Milk” (Focus Features), A Groundswell and Jinks/Cohen Company Production, Dan Jinks and Bruce Cohen, Producers
“The Reader” (The Weinstein Company), A Mirage Enterprises and Neunte Babelsberg Film GmbH Production
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), A Celador Films Production, Christian Colson, Producer
So, the big one. I’ll need to see the remainders but for the moment I hope ‘Button’ does an Obama and plunders a rich American history (hence why Frost/Nixon is doomed to failure) of looking forward whilst celebrating the present and ulitmately looking forward to better days – ‘Milk’ I think is still too controversial at the moment, one civil rights step at a time…..
“Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight), A Celador Films Production, Christian Colson, Producer
Best animated short film
“La Maison en Petits Cubes” A Robot Communications Production, Kunio Kato
“Lavatory – Lovestory” A Melnitsa Animation Studio and CTB Film Company Production, Konstantin Bronzit
“Oktapodi” (Talantis Films), A Gobelins, L’école de l’image Production, Emud Mokhberi and Thierry Marchand
“Presto” (Walt Disney), A Pixar Animation Studios Production, Doug Sweetland
“This Way Up” A Nexus Production, Alan Smith and Adam Foulkes
Well, the only one I’ve seen and it is outstanding:
“Presto” (Walt Disney), A Pixar Animation Studios Production, Doug Sweetland
Best live action short film
“Auf der Strecke (On the Line)” (Hamburg Shortfilmagency), An Academy of Media Arts Cologne Production, Reto Caffi
“Manon on the Asphalt” (La Luna Productions), A La Luna Production, Elizabeth Marre and Olivier Pont
“New Boy” (Network Ireland Television), A Zanzibar Films Production, Steph Green and Tamara Anghie
“The Pig” An M & M Production, Tivi Magnusson and Dorte Høgh
“Spielzeugland (Toyland)” A Mephisto Film Production, Jochen Alexander Freydank
Guess:
“The Pig” An M & M Production, Tivi Magnusson and Dorte Høgh

Achievement in sound editing
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Richard King
“Iron Man” (Paramount and Marvel Entertainment), Frank Eulner and Christopher Boyes
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Tom Sayers
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Ben Burtt and Matthew Wood
“Wanted” (Universal), Wylie Stateman
A guess at some shout out to DK:
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Richard King

Achievement in sound mixing
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Mark Weingarten
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo and Ed Novick
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Ian Tapp, Richard Pryke and Resul Pookutty
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Tom Myers, Michael Semanick and Ben Burtt
“Wanted” (Universal), Chris Jenkins, Frank A. Montaño and Petr Forejt
Having seen the extras on the Blu-Ray and the level of detail they poured into the film:
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Tom Myers, Michael Semanick and Ben Burtt

Achievement in visual effects
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton and Craig Barron
“The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.), Nick Davis, Chris Corbould, Tim Webber and Paul Franklin
“Iron Man” (Paramount and Marvel Entertainment), John Nelson, Ben Snow, Dan Sudick and Shane Mahan
Heh, always a bone of contention for the fans. Brilliant in all cases I reckon, ‘Button’ pips it as the most essential and seamless use in this category.
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton and Craig Barron

Adapted screenplay
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.), Screenplay by Eric Roth, Screen story by Eric Roth and Robin Swicord
“Doubt” (Miramax), Written by John Patrick Shanley
“Frost/Nixon” (Universal), Screenplay by Peter Morgan
“The Reader” (The Weinstein Company), Screenplay by David Hare
“Slumdog Millionaire” (Fox Searchlight), Screenplay by Simon Beaufoy
One of the dark horses usually get this. ‘Frost/Nixon’ and ‘Doubt’ were both plays and I reckon that will go against them, maybe ‘The Reader’:
“The Reader” (The Weinstein Company), Screenplay by David Hare

Original screenplay
“Frozen River” (Sony Pictures Classics), Written by Courtney Hunt
“Happy-Go-Lucky” (Miramax), Written by Mike Leigh
“In Bruges” (Focus Features), Written by Martin McDonagh
“Milk” (Focus Features), Written by Dustin Lance Black
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Screenplay by Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Original story by Andrew Stanton, Pete Docter
I’d love to see ‘In Bruges’ win as they have in an unusually open area, nevertheless I think ‘WALL-E’ will grab it.
“WALL-E” (Walt Disney), Screenplay by Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Original story by Andrew Stanton, Pete Docter